Probability Statements2018-11-29T14:18:40+10:00

Timetable Forums Standard Probability & Relative Frequency Probability Statements

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    In a certain state of population 4.8 million about 1,200 persons are killed on the roads each year. Therefore there is approximately 1 in 4000 chance of a particular person being killed in a road accident each year. Comment on the validity of this statement

    This is invalid (as a general rule of thumb, these statements are always incorrect)

    Whether a person dies in a road accident is determined by how they drive, how often they are on the road, whether they are on the road in high risk times, whether they are speeding, if it is raining…etc etc etc….

    there are probably 1000 things that determine if you are going to be killed in a road accident, none of them really having anything to do with random chance. For instance, male drivers between the ages of 17 and 30 are much more likely to die than females or males in a different age bracket. Motor cycle drivers are at much higher risk.

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